Tuesday, September 23, 2008

Inside that new Quinnipac poll

Good news for Obama in the latest Quinnipac Poll, he's up 49 to 45 after being down 47-46 one month ago. 

Beyond those numbers though we see that Obama is in a strong position to widen his lead in the coming weeks. In the new Quinnipac Poll we see that Obama has moved from 86% Dem support in August to 91% today. That's critically important. The general consensus is that for a Democrat to win statewide in Colorado he needs about 90% support from Dems, 60% support from Independents and 14% from Republicans. 

What about those independents? Well Obama is only at 51% but McCain is languishing at 40% with 7% still undecided. Even a highly uinlikely 50-50 split of those voters leaves McCain buried with independents. 

As for Republicans McCain is at 89% and Obama only at 7%. Still I think this poll shows Obama is in a very strong position now here in Colorado. 

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