Friday, September 19, 2008

About that Insider Advantage poll

Have you seen the poll that shows Obama up 10% in Colorado? It's from an outfit called "Insider Advantage." That 10 point lead is jarring and, I think, way off but when we look inside the poll (pdf) we find something even more jarring - John McCain capturing 26% of the African American vote in Colorado. 26%!

I'm not sure there is anyway for Barack Obama to win Colorado if John McCain captures 26% of the African-American voter. I am certain that there is no way for Barack Obama to win Colorado by 10 points if John McCain captures 26% of the African-American vote. 

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